News Digest: Schroders Q3 Outlook: Deliberate Diversification Is Key as Market Volatility and AI Concentration Risk Loom

July 13, 2026

Despite a broader market recovery and a fragile truce in Iran, global financial markets remain defined by persistent geopolitical, policy, and energy security uncertainties. While risk assets have rebounded to new highs-spurred by a narrow cluster of AI and technology companies-significant market concentration risks remain.

According to Schroders’ Global Investor Insights Survey, 85% of investors anticipate heightened volatility over the next year. Consequently, diversification (84%) and downside protection (83%) have become top portfolio construction priorities. Notably, half of the surveyed investors now evaluate public and private allocations holistically rather than through separate frameworks.

According to the report, private equity as an asset class is experiencing an uneven, early-stage recovery. Small and mid-sized buyouts (enterprise values under $1 billion) present compelling opportunities due to disciplined entry valuations and lower leverage. Conversely, caution is urged for later-stage, AI-related venture capital rounds where valuations have spiked past 2021 peaks. Concurrently, the secondaries market is on pace for record fundraising in 2026. As far as private debt & credit alternatives go, crowding in traditional direct lending has compressed yields. Investors are instead favouring asset-backed finance (ABF) for its diversified collateral pools, alongside commercial real estate debt, defensive infrastructure debt, and uncorrelated insurance-linked securities (ILS).

Infrastructure equity is benefiting from powerful energy transition tailwinds, particularly in grid flexibility, storage, and operational assets. Meanwhile, global real estate is poised for a recovery driven by rebased valuations and a “cost-push” rental growth effect caused by elevated construction costs.

Ultimately, the report concludes that private markets can substantially bolster portfolio resilience, but only if allocations are deliberately diversified, strategy-selective, and explicitly complementary to existing holdings.

End Notes

Source: https://www.schroderscapital.com/en/global/professional/insights/private-markets-investment-outlook-q2-2026-recovery-redefined/